The AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans travel to Kansas City to take on the AFC West-leading Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.
Tennessee Titans (5-2) to Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
- place: Kansas City, MO. Arrowhead Stadium in GEHA Field
- Time: Sunday, November 6 at 8:20 pm ET
- Channel: nB.C
- money line: KC (-650), Ten (+460)
- scattered: KC-12.5
- over under: 45.5
The Titans come into this game riding a hot streak, winning five straight games against a very smooth schedule. Tennessee’s opponents have a combined record of 10-18-2 during that winning streak, with no opposing offense above 20th in the DVOA. Obviously, facing the chiefs is not like that.
Kansas City has the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 31.9 points per game, and has scored more touchdowns than any other team despite playing only seven games. They are throwing for 296 yards and rushing for 107.3 yards per game.
Patrick Mahomes has also done this by spreading the ball around. Travis Kelce (47 receptions, 553 yards, seven TDs) remained the center point, but all were JuJu Smith-Schuster (34 receptions, 494 yards, two touchdowns) Marquez Valdes-Scantling (22 receptions, 369 yards) and Mecole Hardman (19 ) reception, 218 yards, three touchdowns) is actively involved in the offense.
When you include Kadarius Tony and the three running backs, all of whom are involved in the passing game, it makes it difficult for this Chiefs gameplan to take offense.
However, the Titans have a strong defense, conceding just 19.7 points per game. Their defensive front, led by Denico Autry (3.5 sacks) and Jeffrey Simmons (5.5 sacks), is able to put pressure on the quarterback without blitzing, which allows linebackers to assist a below average secondary.
Still, the Titans’ defense is unlikely to win this game. They will need to keep the Chiefs’ offense off the field as much as possible, which is obviously easier said than done. Especially since this offense from the Titans hasn’t been enough to sustain several long drives.
Tennessee averages 18.9 points per game, and they are throwing for 147.6 yards and running for 138 yards per game. They failed to score more than 24 points in any game this season, ranked 24th in scoring, 26th in total touchdowns, 28th in yards per game and 30th in Pro Football Focus’s offensive power rankings. stay in place.
His crime king, Derrick lives and dies with Henry. During the Titans’ five-game winning streak, Henry averaged 129.6 yards per game on 4.9 yards per carry and reached six touchdowns. He leads the league in rushing yards per game (107.9) and is third in overall rushing yards with 755.
But he will face a tough test this weekend as Kansas City allows the second lowest rushing touchdowns and third lowest rushing yards per game, and seventh lowest yards per carry (4.1).
Before their bye, the Chiefs had 38 rushing yards to Christian McCaffrey on eight carries, but Jeff Wilson Jr. had 54 yards on seven carries, so San Francisco had some success on the grounds that Tennessee was copying. Would like
And they’ll need it because rookie Malik Willis will start under center Ryan Tanhill still battling ankle injury, The rookie completed 60 percent of his passes during his maiden start last week, but threw for only 55 yards and one interception, so the team is probably less confident he can pass them heads on the road.
JuJu Smith-Shuster Gaining Yards Over 54.5
There’s a lot of hype about Kadarius Toney, but I’m not quite sure he’s going to make an immediate impact in such a deep wide receiver corps. With the Titans’ potential game-planning to stop the Kells, I think we may be seeing another solid game from Smith-Schuster, scoring a 20% goal in Kansas City and the 100-yard game before bye. was back-to-back. We mentioned above that Titans’ secondary is poor, allowing for a 67.5% completion rate, so I think Mahomes can light them up on a Sunday night.
Game Book: Bet on drafting available at (-115)
Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdown Over 2.5
It’s a slightly risky bet, but, again, we’re choosing this Tennessee secondary. Mahomes has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of his seven games this season, and I don’t think this Tennessee offense will be able to keep him off the field.
Game Book: Bet on drafting available at (+125)
Derrick Henry 90.5 Under Running Yards
I know it sounds weird to bet against Henry, but we’ve just covered that this Tennessee offense has basically nothing to do with him other than that. I think Kansas City is going to stack the box and will dare Malik Willis to beat them. If the game gets out of hand — or at least becomes a two-score game — Tennessee won’t be able to rely as much on Henry and it will be harder for him to hit this total.